There’s only one week to go until the election. Hurricane Sandy is dominating the news right now and it’s difficult to see anything changing the race very much between now and election day. Thursday will be the last day to drop any bombshells if one of the campaigns is holding back. At this point in 2008, Obama enjoyed a three-point lead over McCain on the Rasmussen daily tracker. This was the closest poll for McCain for a month and the poll moved toward Obama for the last few days.
2008
Obama – 50 %
McCain – 47%
The pattern with Rasmussen over the past few weeks has been a closer poll for Obama on Monday. I’m not sure if that’s the “weekend effect” or just a random coincidence. The average lead for Romney has been 3-4 points over the last two weeks.
2012
Romney- 49%
Obama – 47%
There’s not much more to say that I haven’t covered already. Even if you don’t believe Rasmussen, Romney enjoys a one-point lead in the average of polls. This is an almost impossible position for an incumbent facing a bad economy to overcome.
